SpawnPoint

September 11, 2015
Reporting by Vanessa Stevenson of MS-FOX News
Credit/Sources Reuters World Media

I am reporting from the Persian Gulf on the newest American Super-Carrier, the Gerald R. Ford. From my vantage point on top of the new dual band radar system that is monitoring the skies for hundreds of miles around, I am looking upon an unusually churned ocean as a flotilla of over 100 warships from the US Coalition prepare for military operations.  This US Coalition, comprised of American, British, Australian, Italian, German combat ships as well as a number of Japanese support vessels (with the rumors of a newly commission Japanese Naval destroyer squadron being positioned to provide  support from the Oman Sea), has been gathering for weeks in preparation of what is seen to be a major air-war with a follow-on my a coalition of Army and Marine units.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy is said to have spoken briefly with Iranian President Ahmadinejad a couple of hours ago, in an attempt to forestall this invasion of Iraq and potentially the Iranian homeland.  The Alliance military buildup is in response to the growing genocide of Iraqi Sunni populations by Iranian Security Forces.  This buildup has quickened after last weeks reported chemical bombardment of the Sunni town of Talafar that killed an estimated 12,000 civilians. Iranian Ministry officials deny the use of WMD’s but did confirm attacks on insurgent forces in the town of Talafar.  They estimated only 18 died. 

Military sources believe that the Alliance is likely to begin targeting of Iranian “security” bases operating within Iraq to include the US Base outside of Kirkuk that was over-run by Iranian Security forces in 2008 shortly after the US Marine’s departure.  It is also rumored that Alliance covert operations are operating throughout Iraq and Iran establishing ties and providing relief to insurgent forces resisting the Iranian occupation of Iraq.

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A summary of events leading to Operation Iraqi Freedom II

2007  -
The lack of significant progress in light of unrealistic goals of the troop Surge in Iraq led to the dismissal of another US General by Congressional action
US Senate & Congress demanding the roll-back of forces to begin by December of 2007

2008 -
Because of perceived American weakness, the Iranian backed insurgency pushed harder in early 2008 resulting in the reduction of US troop levels to less then 60,000 by the end of the year.  US Troops remained in the “Green Zone”, a few other military positions in Ambar Province and Baghdad.  A continued US troop presence would continue in Southern Iraq until the migration to a Kuwaiti based US Firebase.  An estimated 15,000 US Troops would remain in Kurdish territories.

With the pullout of US Military forces in 2008, Iranian security forces began to multiply.  With already an estimated 1000+ Iranian security forces and advisors operating in Iraq in 2007,  by the end of 2008 over 50,000 would be providing ‘security’ in predominantly Shia populated regions. 

Rumors of a campaign of violence against Sunni populations with the aim of forcing the hands of Sunni insurgents

2009 –
Iranian security forces numbering 200,000 now operate through-out Iraq except for the southern border with Kuwait and the Kurdish territories to the north. 

Iraq government capitulates to Iranian demands and agrees to recognize the protection of Iraq by the Iranian military and demands withdrawal of all US forces from the country. The US declines the opportunity for complete withdrawal and maintains a ring of firebases in the southern port city near Kuwait as well as in Northern Iraq.

Insurgent attacks, supported by a growing Hezbollah and Iranian supplied,  against US positions near the southern Iraq ports forces the US Marines to route across the border to Kuwait

Public Western outrage at the genocide of a small Sunni town outside of Bagdad rumored to be a Sunni ‘Insurgent Stronghold’. 

US funding of Sunni insurgent groups in Iraq increases 200%

2010 –
Iranian military provide security for all of Iraq (except northern Kurdish Regions)
Iraqi government assumes state control over all oil resources in Iraq, banishing all Western aligned Oil companies out Insurgency continues. Genocide of Sunni populations continues.
Destruction of US Destroy Nasworth by Iranian insurgents in the Gulf

2012 –
The price of oil begins to move from the stable $80 a barrel to over $100 a barrel due to restricted contracts to Chinese firms for Iraqi oil
Insurgency continues. Genocide of Sunni populations continues.

2014 –
Iran and Iraq, jointly controlling over 30% of the worlds oil supply,  declare an oil embargo over the US and any countries aligned with it. 
Insurgency continues. Genocide of Sunni populations continues.
Joint Iranian and Iraqi military buildup occurs on Saudi border.  Old arguments used to justify hostilities.

2015-
A continuation and expansion of the armed conflict of the middle east.


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This article is a fictitious account of a world that may come.  Arguements for peace instead of war.. for the sake of peace and peace alone.. tend to lead to further conflict.  Two enemies that take a step back but one not defeated and disarmed leads to a continuation of conflict as soon as circumstances are convenient for one side or the other.  Neither should, from a political viewpoint, be deemed evil however everyone must take a side.  In Wester Society it behooves us to maintain and stabilize otherwise instable regions.  This rule is further encouraged when said regions provide critical resources to the economies of our societies. 

We should recognize the situation for what it is today, not how it might have been or how we would have liked it.  Like the current US Administration or not,  the situation is what it is.  To retreat and allow the situation to spiral further is to invite future failures at a larger cost.  No war is unwinnable for our wester societies if we choose to expend the appropriate capital, treasure, and blood.  We simply need to have the willpower and understanding of the need.

Atrus @ 2007-09-29 17:41:54
There's already a Naval build up in the Persian Gulf as we speak, and if you look at the resolution just passed by the Senate it would seem we're about ready to begin air op's over Iran. Also, I posted in the forums sometime back warning that we would not be leaving Iraq anytime soon. America has never left a country/region where it's blood has been shed and Iraq will be no different - we will have boots on the ground and bases in Iraq for many years to come - and don't expect the Dem's to bail out as much as the conservatives would like voters to believe that they will. Look for air op precision bombing over Iran infrastructure to begin later this year or early in 2008.

weaver @ 2007-09-29 19:48:47
I hope people realize I am drawing up a fictional but realistic hypothesized scenario of the future.

Atrus @ 2007-09-29 21:34:04
I'd like to think that with the 2015 date front and center they'd get that right away. I think the scenario you've laid out is very likely, if we pull out. I just don't believe we're gong to leave Iraq anytime soon. Everything is beginning to point to Bush making a move on Iran, no troops because we just don't have that ability right now or without the draft, but air options have already been worked out. I just can't see Bush leaving office with Iran on the Iraqi doorstep, and working on nukes. Leaving Iran as is to wreck havoc in the region would have a detrimental affect on any legacy he hopes to leave behind.

Atrus @ 2007-09-29 21:50:40
Also, one thing I would like to see here at Spawnpoint is more interest and opinions being expressed by members on what is arguably the most important issue of our time. Yes, we're a gaming portal and not everyone cares about the politics of war, but it would be nice to see more of our members post and express their thoughts on topics such as this. Don't be shy - jump in, we'd like to hear what you think and how you feel. Everyone won't agree, but that is the nature of Democracy - it's what makes something like Spawnpoint possible.